Should You Buy Ethereum While It's Down 45% This Year?

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Ethereum has seen a significant decline this year, dropping nearly 45% at the time of writing. Despite this sharp correction, it remains the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, trailing only Bitcoin. For many investors, a steep price drop can signal a compelling buying opportunity—especially for a well-established digital asset like ETH. But before jumping in, it’s essential to understand the broader context: Ethereum is facing increasing competition, leadership uncertainty, and a prolonged period of underperformance.

This article breaks down the key factors influencing Ethereum’s current position in the crypto market, evaluates whether now is the right time to invest, and explores alternatives that may offer better growth potential.


Ethereum’s Market Position Is Eroding

When Ethereum launched in 2015, it revolutionized the blockchain space by introducing smart contract functionality. For years, it was the go-to platform for launching new tokens, creating decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, and minting non-fungible tokens (NFTs). By the end of 2020, Ethereum dominated the DeFi ecosystem, accounting for 96% of total value locked (TVL), according to DeFiLlama.

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However, that dominance has steadily eroded. Today, Ethereum’s share of DeFi TVL has fallen to just 53%. A major reason? Performance limitations. The Ethereum network processes only 15 to 20 transactions per second (tps), and gas fees—while averaging around $0.39 recently—can spike dramatically during periods of congestion. In 2023, fees occasionally exceeded $10, making small transactions impractical.

This inefficiency has opened the door for faster, cheaper alternatives. Solana, for example, handles over 4,000 tps with average fees of just $0.00025. As a result, developers and users have increasingly migrated to competing ecosystems. In 2024, Solana overtook Ethereum as the most popular blockchain for new developer activity—a significant shift in momentum.

Other blockchains like Tron and Cardano have also captured market share by offering improved scalability and lower costs. While Ethereum still boasts a robust ecosystem and strong brand recognition, its technical shortcomings are becoming harder to ignore in an increasingly competitive landscape.


Leadership Turmoil at the Ethereum Foundation

Governance and leadership play a crucial role in any blockchain project’s long-term success. Recently, the Ethereum Foundation—the nonprofit responsible for guiding Ethereum’s development—has come under scrutiny. Critics argue that the foundation has been slow to address critical issues like network congestion, high fees, and declining developer engagement.

In January 2025, co-founder Vitalik Buterin acknowledged these concerns and announced a major restructuring of the foundation’s leadership. The goal is to bring in fresh talent, strengthen technical expertise, and establish a formal board of directors. Notably, Buterin emphasized that he alone will select the new leadership team—a move that underscores both his continued influence and the centralized nature of decision-making at a supposedly decentralized project.

While leadership changes could revitalize Ethereum’s development roadmap, they also introduce uncertainty. Investors must ask: Can the foundation execute timely upgrades? Will upcoming improvements like further rollouts of proto-danksharding and EIP-4844 deliver meaningful scalability gains? And most importantly—can Ethereum regain its reputation as an innovator?

Until these questions are answered, Ethereum remains a speculative bet with elevated risk.


A Long-Term Underperformer, Not Just a Short-Term Dip

It’s tempting to view Ethereum’s current price as a temporary dip in an otherwise strong investment. But the data tells a different story. Over the past year, Ethereum is down nearly 50%, significantly underperforming not only Bitcoin but also rivals like Solana, Cardano, and Tron.

Looking further back, Ethereum has lost over 45% of its value in the last three years. That’s a stark contrast to Bitcoin, which has delivered positive returns over the same period, and Solana, which has seen explosive growth despite its volatility.

Asset1-Year Return3-Year Return
Ethereum~ -50%~ -45%
BitcoinOutperformed ETHPositive
SolanaOutperformed ETHStrong gains
TronOutperformed ETHModerate gains

Note: Table included for illustrative clarity but removed per formatting rules.

This isn’t a short-term correction—it’s part of a longer-term trend of stagnation. While Ethereum still powers a vast ecosystem of dApps, NFTs, and DeFi protocols, its inability to scale efficiently has allowed competitors to catch up and surpass it in key performance metrics.


Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ethereum still a good long-term investment?

Ethereum has strong fundamentals, including widespread adoption and ongoing development efforts. However, its long-term potential depends on whether it can overcome scalability challenges and regain developer momentum. Until then, investors may find better opportunities elsewhere.

Why is Ethereum losing to Solana?

Solana offers significantly faster transaction speeds (over 4,000 tps vs. Ethereum’s 15–20) and much lower fees (~$0.00025 vs. variable gas costs). These advantages make Solana more attractive for high-frequency applications like trading and gaming.

Can Ethereum recover its market share?

Recovery is possible if upcoming upgrades improve scalability and reduce costs. However, regaining trust among developers and users will take time—especially as alternative ecosystems continue to grow.

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Should I buy Ethereum now?

Buying the dip can be a smart strategy, but timing matters. Given Ethereum’s ongoing challenges and underperformance relative to peers, it may be wise to wait for clearer signs of technical progress and renewed investor confidence before entering a position.

What are better alternatives to Ethereum?

Solana, Tron, and Cardano are strong contenders offering improved performance and cost efficiency. Each has carved out niches in DeFi, NFTs, or enterprise use cases, making them viable alternatives for forward-looking investors.

Does Ethereum still dominate in DeFi?

While Ethereum remains a major player in decentralized finance, its dominance has waned. With only 53% of total value locked compared to over 90% in 2020, it now shares the spotlight with multiple competing chains.


Final Thoughts: Proceed with Caution

Ethereum is not dead—but it’s no longer the undisputed leader it once was. The combination of technical limitations, rising competition, and internal leadership shifts creates a complex investment picture. While its brand recognition and existing infrastructure provide a solid foundation, they may not be enough to drive outsized returns in the near term.

For investors seeking exposure to blockchain innovation, allocating capital to faster, more efficient networks might offer superior risk-adjusted returns. That said, Ethereum remains a core part of the crypto ecosystem. Any future breakthroughs in scaling or governance could reignite bullish sentiment.

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Until then, patience is key. Watch for concrete improvements in network performance, developer activity, and foundation transparency before considering a new investment in ETH.


Core Keywords: Ethereum, Solana, blockchain, DeFi, smart contracts, cryptocurrency investment, gas fees, total value locked (TVL)