Is Crypto About to Go Extinct?

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The glitz and glamour of the Super Bowl once served as a launchpad for cryptocurrency’s mainstream arrival. In February 2022, with 99 million viewers tuned in, major crypto platforms seized the spotlight through high-budget commercials—none more memorable than the ad featuring comedian Larry David mocking revolutionary inventions, only to dismiss crypto as another fad. The punchline? “Don’t be like Larry.”

Today, that message feels painfully ironic.

Within months, the crypto ecosystem began to unravel. TerraUSD and Luna collapsed, erasing $45 billion in value overnight. Three Arrows Capital, Voyager Digital, and Celsius Network filed for bankruptcy. And FTX—the very company behind the Super Bowl ad—imploded in November 2022 amid fraud allegations against its founder, Sam Bankman-Fried. Bitcoin, once valued near $69,000 in late 2021, now trades at roughly a third of that peak.

So, is crypto on the verge of extinction?

The Crypto Ice Age: A Period of Reckoning

Experts agree: cryptocurrency as a concept is unlikely to disappear, but the industry is entering a prolonged phase of contraction and scrutiny—what some call a “crypto ice age.”

Tim Leung, director of the computational finance and risk management programme at the University of Washington, describes this period as one defined by low trading volumes, diminished investor trust, and dwindling capital inflows from traditional markets. Unlike the more optimistic “crypto winter” narrative—suggesting a temporary freeze—Leung argues this downturn could persist well into 2025 and beyond.

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The collapse was fueled by multiple factors:

As Leung puts it: “We’ll see more bad news before things get better.”

Regulatory Crossroads: Old Rules vs. New Technology

One of the most pressing debates in the aftermath of the crash centers on regulation. Should existing financial laws apply to crypto, or does this technology demand entirely new frameworks?

Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), believes most cryptocurrencies function like securities and should be regulated as such under current U.S. law. Legal scholar Hilary Allen supports this view, warning that creating special exemptions for crypto sends a dangerous message: that it’s above standard financial governance.

But others argue this approach misses the point.

“Cryptocurrencies are not stocks,” says Bruno Biais, finance professor at HEC Paris. “People don’t buy Bitcoin for dividends—they buy it because they believe others will accept it as value tomorrow.” Forcing blockchain innovations into outdated regulatory molds risks stifling technological progress without enhancing consumer protection.

Christian Catalini, founder of MIT’s Cryptoeconomics Lab, warns that rigid application of old rules may “kill the innovation potential of the space without any meaningful benefit to the public.”

FAQs: Understanding Crypto Regulation

Q: Can existing financial laws regulate crypto effectively?
A: Partially. While securities laws can address fraud and investor protection, they don’t fully account for decentralized networks or blockchain-specific mechanics.

Q: Why do stablecoins require special attention?
A: Because they promise price stability—often pegged to the U.S. dollar—but lack the regulatory safeguards of banks or traditional currencies.

Q: Are global regulations possible?
A: Yes. With firms operating across borders, international coordination—like G20-led efforts—is essential for consistent oversight.

Stabilizing Stablecoins: The Key to Trust

Among all crypto assets, stablecoins have drawn the most regulatory focus. Designed to maintain a fixed value (e.g., $1 per coin), they serve as bridges between fiat money and digital ecosystems. Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin, often sees higher trading volume than Bitcoin.

Yet their stability is largely theoretical.

Unlike bank deposits insured by government agencies, most stablecoins are issued by unregulated entities with opaque reserve holdings. The Financial Stability Board (FSB) has repeatedly warned that many lack credible mechanisms to honor redemption promises.

To address this, several nations are enacting targeted reforms:

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These moves aim to separate legitimate players from bad actors—ensuring only those who meet transparency and solvency standards survive.

Rebuilding Trust: The Path Forward

At its core, crypto’s survival hinges not on technology or regulation alone—but on restoring user trust.

The fallout from FTX left millions of investors financially and emotionally scarred. For confidence to return, experts say two things must happen:

  1. Justice must be served—fraudsters held accountable.
  2. Lost funds must be recovered, even partially.

Biais emphasizes that seeing legal consequences unfold will signal whether the system works—or remains broken.

Still, opinions remain divided on crypto’s long-term value.

Skeptics like Allen argue that after stripping away the hype, crypto offers nothing traditional finance can’t already deliver. Others, like Catalini, see parallels with the dot-com crash: while many early internet companies failed, survivors like Amazon redefined commerce. Similarly, blockchain could enable decentralized finance (DeFi), peer-to-peer transactions, and financial inclusion for unbanked populations.

“The technology is here to stay,” Catalini insists. “Even if many projects fail.”

FAQs: Crypto’s Future & User Concerns

Q: Should I invest in crypto now?
A: Exercise caution. Only allocate funds you can afford to lose, and prioritize platforms with clear regulatory compliance.

Q: Will Bitcoin recover?
A: Historically, Bitcoin has rebounded after major crashes—but future performance is never guaranteed.

Q: Can crypto ever be truly secure?
A: Security improves with regulation, transparency, and institutional-grade custody solutions.

Conclusion: Evolution, Not Extinction

Crypto is not going extinct—but it is evolving.

The era of unchecked growth, celebrity endorsements, and unregulated lending is over. What emerges next will likely be leaner, more transparent, and subject to stronger oversight.

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The road ahead remains uncertain. But one lesson is clear: in finance, as in life, you shouldn’t make decisions based on Super Bowl ads. The real test isn’t hype—it’s resilience.