2025年 Stablecoin: Capital's New Focus in a Restructured Financial Landscape

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In the rapidly evolving world of digital finance, stablecoins have emerged as a pivotal force reshaping global capital flows. By 2025, the global stablecoin market has surpassed $200 billion in market capitalization, with daily trading volumes exceeding $100 billion. This surge marks stablecoins as more than just crypto market tools—they are now critical infrastructure bridging traditional finance and decentralized ecosystems. Behind this growth lies a complex interplay of technological innovation, regulatory evolution, and strategic competition over monetary influence.

This article explores how stablecoins evolved from niche digital assets into central players in the future of finance, analyzing their core attributes, market dynamics, regulatory battles, and transformative potential across payment systems and real-world asset (RWA) integration.

The Nature and Market Structure of Stablecoins

Defining the Three Pillars of Stablecoins

Stablecoins, or digitally issued tokens pegged to external assets, derive their value from three foundational characteristics: digital nature, price stability, and monetary utility.

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Digital Nature
As blockchain-based assets, stablecoins inherit key advantages such as fast settlement, low transaction costs, and borderless accessibility. Unlike traditional banking systems, they operate on decentralized networks that enable near-instant peer-to-peer transfers. While vulnerabilities like smart contract risks and custody concerns remain, their technical foundation supports scalable financial innovation.

Price Stability
This is the defining trait separating stablecoins from volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Stability is achieved through four primary models:

Among these, fiat-backed stablecoins dominate due to their simplicity and reliability.

Monetary Utility
Stablecoins fulfill essential monetary functions—unit of account, store of value, and medium of exchange—within crypto economies. With over 90% of crypto trades denominated in stablecoins, they serve as the de facto "base money" for decentralized finance (DeFi), enabling lending, trading, and yield generation without exposure to extreme volatility.

Market Concentration: A Duopoly with Emerging Challengers

As of mid-2025, the stablecoin landscape remains highly concentrated. USDT and USDC together control over 80% of the total market cap:

These two dollar-pegged tokens dominate due to strong liquidity, widespread exchange support, and increasing transparency efforts. Tether maintains its peg through a reserve portfolio consisting primarily of U.S. Treasury bills and cash equivalents. Historical data shows USDT’s price deviation rarely exceeds ±1.5%, demonstrating robust mechanism design.

While crypto-collateralized alternatives like DAI offer greater decentralization, they represent a smaller share (~5%). However, DAI has shown remarkable price stability—its standard deviation from $1 was just $0.0067 between 2019 and 2025—highlighting the effectiveness of algorithmic incentives and over-collateralization.

Global Regulatory Race: Sovereignty in the Digital Age

Divergent Approaches Across Major Economies

Regulatory momentum accelerated dramatically after 2023, with major jurisdictions racing to define legal frameworks for stablecoins—not merely for risk control but as part of broader monetary sovereignty strategies.

United States: The proposed GENIUS Act and STABLE Act aim to cement the dollar’s dominance in digital form. Key requirements include:

This approach effectively institutionalizes a “digital dollar” system under private yet regulated issuers.

European Union: Under MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation), stablecoins are classified into two tiers:

MiCA provides flexibility but stops short of actively promoting euro-denominated stablecoins at scale.

Asia-Pacific: Singapore and Hong Kong adopt pragmatic stances:

Despite progressive policies, regional players face challenges in competing with dollar-dominated networks due to smaller capital pools and limited global adoption.

Can Stablecoins Sustain Dollar Hegemony?

While U.S.-backed stablecoins dominate—accounting for 386 times the value of non-dollar counterparts—their ability to reinforce dollar supremacy is debatable.

On the demand side, dollar dominance reflects network effects rather than intrinsic superiority. Yet structural threats persist:

On the supply side, stablecoins hold approximately $120 billion in U.S. Treasuries—just 0.4% of total public debt. Moreover, regulations restrict investments to short-dated bills (<93 days), leaving long-term fiscal imbalances unaddressed.

Thus, while stablecoins enhance liquidity in short-term markets, they do not resolve deeper macroeconomic vulnerabilities.

Future Outlook: Reshaping Finance Through Innovation

RWA Integration: Bridging Physical Assets and Digital Markets

One of the most transformative trends is the convergence of stablecoins with real-world asset tokenization (RWA). By converting tangible assets—such as real estate, corporate bonds, or private equity—into blockchain-tradable tokens, RWA unlocks unprecedented access and efficiency.

Stablecoins act as the natural settlement layer for these transactions due to their predictable value. For example:

This fusion lowers entry barriers, enables fractional ownership, and automates compliance—ushering in a new era of hybrid finance where TradFi meets DeFi.

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Revolutionizing Cross-Border Payments

Traditional cross-border remittances suffer from high costs and slow processing times—averaging 3–5 days and fees up to 13.64% via banks.

Stablecoins offer a compelling alternative:

For instance, sending $200 via bank costs ~$27; using stablecoins reduces that to less than a cent. This cost-speed advantage positions stablecoins as serious competitors to both legacy SWIFT systems and emerging CBDCs.

Countries like Hong Kong are already piloting use cases with major tech firms (e.g., JD.com), signaling growing institutional acceptance.

Projected Growth and Systemic Implications

The U.S. Treasury’s Borrowing Advisory Committee projects that stablecoin market cap could reach $2 trillion by 2028, assuming favorable regulation.

Such growth would trigger two major shifts:

  1. Digital Capital Flows: As institutions shift short-term holdings into yield-bearing stablecoins and individuals adopt them for savings or payments, traditional banking intermediation may decline.
  2. Currency Substitution Risk: In emerging markets, widespread adoption of dollar-backed stablecoins could accelerate “digital dollarization,” potentially undermining local currencies and monetary policy autonomy.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q1: What is a stablecoin? How does it differ from Bitcoin?
A: A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to assets like the U.S. dollar or gold. Unlike Bitcoin, which experiences high volatility, stablecoins provide price predictability while retaining blockchain benefits like speed and transparency.

Q2: Why did the UST algorithmic stablecoin fail in 2022?
A: UST relied on an algorithmic mechanism tied to the LUNA token. When confidence eroded, massive redemptions triggered a death spiral: selling LUNA drove its price down, which further destabilized UST’s peg, ultimately leading to collapse.

Q3: Why are governments rushing to regulate stablecoins?
A: Because stablecoins extend national currencies into digital spaces, regulators seek to manage systemic risks while asserting control over monetary policy in the crypto age. The U.S., in particular, aims to preserve dollar dominance through regulated digital issuance.

Q4: Do stablecoins significantly support the U.S. Treasury market?
A: Their impact is limited. As of 2024, stablecoin reserves held only about $120 billion in Treasuries—just 0.4% of total outstanding debt—and are restricted to short-term bills, so they don’t address long-term fiscal challenges.

Q5: How can individuals participate in the stablecoin ecosystem?
A: Users can buy major stablecoins like USDT or USDC through licensed exchanges for purposes including trading, remittances, or earning yields in DeFi protocols. Always consider regulatory compliance and counterparty risks.

Q6: Are all stablecoins equally safe?
A: No. Safety depends on transparency, collateral quality, audit frequency, and governance structure. Fiat-backed tokens like USDC publish regular attestations; others may lack verifiable reserves or rely on complex mechanisms prone to failure under stress.

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